What if Guilianni won the Republican Primary and Clinton wins the Democratic Primary? That would split the nation down the middle 50-50 – like it has done the past two elections.
But the Ron Paul decides to run as an independent.
Since he is the only candidate who is against abortion – he gets the Christian right votes
He gets the libertarian and people who are most concerned about civil liberties votes.
He gets the anti-status quo votes – the people who want a change in government
and he gets the peacenik votes because of limited government means we get out of Iraq faster than Clinton would.
If there is a 50-50 split between Republicans and Democrats – Ron only needs 34% of the electoral votes to win (34% for Ron, 33% for Hillary, 33% for Guilianni.)